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What will be the price of Hamster Kombat tokens at launch?
With Hamster Kombat gearing up to launch its token in late July, the big question is: what will the token price be when it launches? Given its 250 million usersthe potential impact on the value of the token is significant.
Despite the hype surrounding Hamster Kombat, essential details about its tokenomics remain unknown. Bybit already listed HMSTR in its pre-market phase and has assumed a total supply of 10 billion tokens for initial evaluation purposes. However, this number is still uncertain and may change depending on when the project officially reveals more information.
Some may think that HMSTR tokens will directly correspond to the user’s coin balance, but in reality the system will take into account player activity and hourly revenue to incentivize gameplay. So, the next step involves a detailed analysis of Hamster Kombat to project its supply and approximate price of the token at launch.
Hamster Kombat features a tier ranking system. These include Bronze, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Diamond, Epic, Legendary, Master, Grand Master, and Lord. Additionally, there is an eleventh rank designated for the game’s creators called Creator. In our assessment, the distribution of the Hamster Kombat user base is structured as follows:
| Bronze | 50% |
| Silver | 25% |
| Gold | 12.5% |
| Platinum | 6.25% |
| Diamond | 3.13% |
| Epic | 1.56% |
| Legendary | 0.78% |
| Master | 0.39% |
| Great teacher | 0.2% |
| Gentleman | 0.1% |
We assumed that the distribution of users across ranks is such that higher ranks have fewer users. We then looked at revenue data for the top 100 users in each rank. For example, in the Bronze rank, the top user earns 33,612 coins per hour, while the 100th user earns 8,189 coins per hour. Using this data, we calculated the average revenue of the top 100 users in each rank. This gave us an idea of the earnings at the higher end of each rank.
To estimate the average revenue for all users within each ranking, we assumed that users beyond the top 100 earn progressively less. We approximated this average by considering it to be about half the average revenue of the top 100 users. This adjustment accounts for the decrease in earnings as we move down the ranking.
With the estimated average revenue for each rank and the number of users in each rank, we calculated the total revenue for each rank. Adding the total revenue for all ranks, we estimated that the total hourly revenue for all users in Hamster Kombat is approximately 21.89 trillion coins.
| Bronze | 125,000,000 | 33.612 | 8.189 | 3.374 |
| Silver | 62,500,000 | 201,000 | 41,429 | 20.210 |
| Gold | 31,250,000 | 670,000 | 145,000 | 66.984 |
| Platinum | 15,625,000 | 1,400,000 | 373,000 | 140,000 |
| Diamond | 7,812,500 | 2,200,000 | 762.000 | 215,000 |
| Epic | 3.906.250 | 3,200,000 | 2,800,000 | 1,585,000 |
| Legendary | 1,953,125 | 4,400,000 | 3,800,000 | 2,185,000 |
| Master | 976.563 | 4,300,000 | 3,900,000 | 2,125,000 |
| Great teacher | 488.281 | 4,600,000 | 4,200,000 | 2,265,000 |
| Gentleman | 244.141 | 5,000,000 | 4,300,000 | 2,488,000 |
If the Hamster Kombat team chooses to distribute tokens in such a way that 1 HMSTR equals 1 coin per hour of revenue, the total supply would be 21.89 trillion HMSTR tokens. Given the large user base, we can assume that the market cap could reach around $2 billion. This market cap would place the token first in the gaming category, according to CoinMarketCap.
With a market cap of $2 billion, the price per token would be calculated by dividing $2 billion by 21.89 trillion HMSTR tokens. This gives a token price of approximately $0.0000913 per HMSTR.
However, if the distribution model is set up so that 1 HMSTR equals 10,000 coins per hour of turnover, the total supply would be significantly reduced. In this scenario, the total token supply would be 21.89 trillion coins divided by 10,000, which equals approximately 2.189 billion HMSTR tokens.
Considering the same market cap of $2 billion, the price per token would be calculated by dividing $2 billion by 2.189 billion HMSTR tokens. This would result in a token price of approximately $0.914 per HMSTR.
At the time of writing, Bybit’s pre-market trading low is $0.001 and high is $1.00, with the last traded price being $0.225. However, it is important to note that these are pre-market prices and our estimate is only a projection. It does not necessarily reflect the prices readers will be able to buy or sell at when the token is finally launched.
Once the token is listed, many players will likely sell their tokens, leading to a significant influx of sell orders. While some users may play for fun, a large number will try to convert their earnings into cash, driving the price down. This initial wave of sell orders will likely create downward pressure on the price, potentially causing it to drop below pre-market levels within minutes, hours, or days of the launch. We assume that the price could drop by about 50%, which would result in a price of around $0.457 per HMSTR and a market cap of around $1 billion, assuming the distribution rate of 10,000 coins per hour equals 1 HMSTR.
Disclosure: This article does not constitute investment advice. The content and materials on this page are for educational purposes only.