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Bitcoin outflows, altcoin inflows: Is a shift in the crypto market underway?

TokenTalk Staff

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Bitcoin outflows, altcoin inflows: Is a shift in the crypto market underway?

(Kitco News) – Digital asset investment products recorded their fourth consecutive week of outflows in the week ending May 3, as collective assets under management (AUM) declined by $251 million to 84 .86 billion dollars.

It was also “the first week to see measurable outflows from newly issued ETFs in the United States, which saw outflows of $156 million last week,” said James Butterfill, head of research. at CoinShares. “We estimate the average purchase price of these ETFs since their launch at US$62,200 per Bitcoin (BTC), as the price fell 10% below this level, this may have triggered automatic sell orders.

Outflows from spot BTC ETFs mean the US is responsible for the majority of the drop in assets under management with $504 million in outflows, while Switzerland, Canada and Germany saw withdrawals of $9 .8 million, $9.6 million, and $7.3 million, respectively.

“The bright spot last week was the successful launch of the Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs in Hong Kong, which saw inflows of $307 million in the first week of trading,” Butterfill said.

In an unusual turn of events, Bitcoin was the only token to experience outflows, with $284 million withdrawn from funds, while Ethereum (ETH) ended its seven-week outflow streak to record inflows of $30 million.

“A wide range of altcoins saw inflows, with the largest being Avalanche, Cardano, and Polkadot at $0.5 million, $0.4 million, and $0.3 million, respectively,” Butterfill said.

Trade flows are decreasing

Another set of flow data that crypto investors are watching are Bitcoin inflows into cryptocurrency exchanges, which recently hit their lowest point in nearly a decade, suggesting a bullish recovery looms on the horizon.

As shown in the chart provided by CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, Bitcoin inflows into exchanges stand at 20,000 Bitcoins, the lowest value the market has seen since 2015.

At the same time, Adler noted that long-term hodlers also stopped distributing their tokens and started reaccumulating them, which has always been bullish.

Data provided by Alternative shows that general sentiment in the crypto market remains in “greed” territory, which some analysts say means additional weakness is needed to ensure excess froth is cleared from the market.

But according to for analyst Kripto Mevsimi, this could soon change: “We are approaching the “gray line” [in the chart below]which serves as an optimism/pessimism threshold for the crypto market.

“The blue line, representing the proportion of Bitcoin supply currently in profit, is particularly high,” Mevsimi said. “This generally indicates that a significant portion of the market may be looking to make gains, which could lead to increased selling pressure. Historically, such high levels often preceded market volatility and potential pullbacks as holders began to liquidate their positions.

As the measure moves closer to the gray line, “market participants must be vigilant; a move below this line could lead to a deeper price correction,” he warned. “However, if we remain above this line, market sentiment will likely remain positive and any correction may be short-lived.”

“Profitability is a crucial factor in market psychology, especially when macroeconomic conditions, such as current economic expansionary monetary policies, do not favor risky assets,” Mevsimi concluded. “Participants should carefully monitor these dynamics as they can significantly influence market movements.”

Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is for informational purposes only. This is not a solicitation to trade any commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article accept no liability for loss and/or damage arising from the use of this publication.



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We are the editorial team of TokenTalk, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on TokenTalk, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Altcoins

Best Altcoins for the Next Bull Cycle: Santiment’s Recommendations

TokenTalk Staff

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Best Altcoins for the Next Bull Cycle: Santiment’s Recommendations

As Bitcoin (BTC) approached the $67,000 mark on Friday, the altcoin market, led by Ethereum (ETH)has shown strong bullish signals. Many altcoins are reaching the peak of a multi-week consolidation phase that began earlier this year. On-chain data also indicates that institutional investors have been actively buying crypto assets, preparing for the next phase of the bull market.

Additionally, several altcoins have recently retested the bullish breakout of the overall downtrend. With Bitcoin dominance set to decline, focusing on the altcoin market could be a smart move to maximize returns.

Expert advice: What should you pay attention to?

According to market intelligence platform Santiment, investors should keep an eye on the average trading returns of different assets.

After critically analyzing market data, Santiment believes that Shiba Inu (SHIB), Uniswap (UNI), Polygon (MATIC), Chainlink (LINK), Cardano (ADA), and Ripple-backed XRP are the best large-cap altcoins to buy now to maximize profits in the future.

Meanwhile, Santiment pointed out that Toncoin (TONNE), Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), and Dogecoin (DOGE) present a higher risk to maximize profits in the planned alternative season.

Market Outlook: Volatility Ahead?

With the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) expected to deliver its policy statements next week, increased volatility in the cryptocurrency market is likely. Furthermore, historical data suggests that August could bring a bearish trend for the sector.

Despite this, the cryptocurrency market is expected to turn bullish again in the fourth quarter, driven by the US elections and anticipated interest rate cuts.

Read also : Kennedy Jr. Proposes $615 Billion Bitcoin Investment After Election Victory

Invest smart. The future of cryptocurrencies is bright.

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Altcoins

Analyst Says Ethereum-Based Altcoin “Looks Strong As Hell,” Outlines Path Ahead For Bitcoin And Solana

TokenTalk Staff

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Analyst Says Ethereum-Based Altcoin “Looks Strong As Hell,” Outlines Path Ahead For Bitcoin And Solana

A widely followed crypto analyst and trader believes a memecoin is headed for the next leg higher.

Pseudonymous crypto trader Altcoin Sherpa tell his 216,400 followers on the social media platform X that Pepe (PEPE) market fundamentals appear solid.

“PEPE: I never got a chance to add $0.00001111, but I’m still in it. He seems pretty strong. I’m still a big fan of memes in general.”

Source: Altcoin Sherpa/X

Pepe is trading at $0.00001128 at the time of writing, down 8% in the last 24 hours.

Then the analyst said Ethereum (ETH) rival of Solana (GROUND) has greater upside potential due to network activity.

“SOL: Go long on Solana. Why? Because SOL memes continue to take off and everyone is denominated in Solana. Being in the trenches of crap money really helps you understand this stuff better. I expect a pullback soon, but this would be the bottom to buy in my opinion.”

Source: Altcoin Sherpa/X

Looking at the analyst’s chart, he suggests that SOL could eventually reach $205.

Solana is trading at $166 at the time of writing, down 6.7% in the past 24 hours.

Finally, the analyst said that Bitcoin (Bitcoin) appears to be in an uptrend but could retest the $63,000 level.

“BTC: Price still looks pretty strong to me. If you really want a dip to get in, look for $63,000 around the 200 four-hour exponential moving average (EMA). For now, things should continue in my opinion.”

Source: Altcoin Sherpa/X

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $64,596, down nearly 2% in the past 24 hours.

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Altcoins

XRP, ADA, and Other Altcoins to Accumulate Ahead of Trump’s Nashville Speech

TokenTalk Staff

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XRP, ADA, and Other Altcoins to Accumulate Ahead of Trump's Nashville Speech

Bitcoin has recovered most of its losses from the week as traders eagerly await former U.S. President Donald Trump’s appearance at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tennessee. Interestingly, Bitcoin gained over 1% today as Trump appears to have changed his stance on digital currencies this election cycle.

Analysts Buzz About Altcoins said that this week, crypto whales have been quietly accumulating several altcoins, showing confidence in their short-term potential despite recent performance declines. Here are the top altcoins:

Arbitration:

Current price: $0.72

Whale activity:Despite its significant decline since the start of the year, Arbitrum has seen an 87% increase in net inflow from large holders over the past week. This suggests that whales believe in the token’s long-term potential. Arbitrum, a Layer 2 scaling solution for Ethereum, aims to improve transaction speeds and reduce costs on the Ethereum network. The recent accumulation of whales could indicate confidence in its technology and future adoption.

XRP:

Current price: $0.59

Whale activity:According to Santiment, the number of addresses holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP tokens has increased since July 23. This shows that the supply has increased from 38% to 40%, which is a sign of growing confidence among large holders. XRP has benefited from recent legal victories and market sentiment, making it an attractive option for whales.

Cardan:

Current price: $0.41

Whale activity:Cardano saw a staggering 10,878% increase in large holder inflows in a single day, surpassing the 5 billion mark. This indicates a significant level of confidence among whales in ADA’s recovery potential. Cardano’s recent upgrades and continued development have been positively received by the market, contributing to its attractiveness.

Chain link

Current price: $13.55

Whale activity: Chainlink recently integrated its Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) with TrueFi on the Ethereum and Arbitrum blockchain platforms. TrueFi, backed by Coinbase and Chainlink, provides transparent and real-time financial data, improving the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. This integration could drive increased adoption and usage of Chainlink, making it a popular choice among whales.

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Altcoins

Ethereum (ETH) ETF Fails to Spark Altcoin Season, Market Rebounds Above $1 Trillion

TokenTalk Staff

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The rebound in altcoin market cap to $1 trillion slightly changes the positive dynamics for the much-anticipated altcoin season in Q3 2024.

Bulls took control of today’s session, pushing the total cryptocurrency market cap to $2.39 trillion, up 4% in 24 hours at press time. Total trading volume stands at $82.2 billion, up 4.4% in 24 hours, at the time of writing.

The Ethereum ETF was supposed to be the flagship of the altcoin season, but the response so far suggests nothing in its favor.

Altcoin market cap is moving in a flag pattern, a steady rise above $1.56T could trigger the altcoin rally and lead to the altcoin season with favorable market conditions.

Ethereum ETF Potential Stabilizes

The Ethereum ETF got off to a strong start with $1 billion in trading volume on its first day with massive inflows and outflows. This activity attracted a lot of money to Ethereum but failed to circulate among other altcoins.

With the launch of Ethereum, market sentiments were poised to trigger the altcoin season, but the cooling volume of the ETH ETF and the distributed interest in the BTC ETF could not muster enough power.

While the price of Ethereum (ETH) is yet to react, experts predict that the price will see a massive surge between $4,000 and $7,000. At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $3,271 with a 24-hour growth of 3.08%.

Altcoin Season Indicator Kills All Hopes.

The required demand for the altcoin season has not been met by the cryptocurrency markets and this can be seen in the Altseason Season Index indicator which is below the threshold of 25.

A push above 75 will mark the start of altcoin season.

Source Blockchain Center

Furthermore, analyzing the performance of the top 50 assets in 90 days shows that only 11 of them have outperformed BTC.

To kick off the official altcoin season, at least 75% of assets must outperform Bitcoin.

An increase in inflows and the return of investors in September and October could potentially trigger the altcoin season we have all been waiting for.

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