Altcoins
Bitcoin Dominance Hits 3-Year High: Is Altcoin Season Coming?
As Bitcoin dominance hits a three-year high of 56%, analysts are predicting the potential start of an altcoin season. Although Bitcoin’s current valuation has fallen below $63,600, the high dominance level suggests a significant shift in the market.
Experts point out that Bitcoin dominance is a key factor in predicting altcoin trends. If Bitcoin holds its price while its dominance declines, it could signal a flow of investment into altcoins. This triggers what many call an “altcoin season.”
Conversely, if Bitcoin price and dominance fall simultaneously, it usually indicates a broader market correction rather than an altcoin boom.
What Factors Suggest an Imminent Altcoin Season?
Markus Thielen of 10X Research noted that Bitcoin Price Tends to Stabilize in August. Therefore, a stable Bitcoin price, coupled with declining dominance, may create the ideal conditions for altcoins to thrive.
Learn more: Bitcoin Dominance Chart: What Is It and Why Does It Matter?
Bitcoin Domination. Source: TradingView
In addition, Ki Young Ju, founder of the chain analysis CryptoQuant platform has highlighted increasing activities by crypto whales that appear to be preparing for an altcoin rally.
“Limit buy order volume for altcoins, excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is increasing, indicating that strong buy walls are being put in place” said.
Ju explained that limit orders, which are preferred by institutions for large trades to minimize price impact, create “quote volume.” His analysis, which includes a graph of the 1-year normalized cumulative buy/sell volume difference, indicates that altcoins like Solana (SOL)Cosmos (ATOM) and Polygon (MATIC) experience significant accumulation activities.
“The indicator is calculated by taking the cumulative sum of the difference between the buy and sell quote volumes, using a one-year rolling window. If there is an upward trend, it means the buy volume of the quotes is increasing, indicating stronger buy walls,” Ju explained.
This bullish sentiment is reflected in the trends following recent developments in crypto financial products. Crypto Vikings, a renowned analyst, suggests that current market conditions are conducive to altcoin season.
“Many alts are down 60-80% in the last couple of months, and many of them have already bottomed and are in a good buy zone. Bitcoin Domination is also facing major resistance relative to where the massive altcoin season began each cycle,” Crypto Vikings declared.
Sentiment is increasingly optimistic, as many believe that the disillusionment that follows periods of prolonged economic downturn opens the way to profitable investments.
Another trader, Mags, noted that altcoins are only up 58% after breaking a 525-day accumulation. Therefore, he predicts a possible continuation of the altcoin rally after a reaccumulation consolidation.
“Permanent bears will tell you that altcoins are done and in a distribution phase. But if you look at the chart, altcoins are only up 58% since they broke out after 525 days of accumulation. Do you really think a breakout after 525 days of consolidation will end after only a 58% move?” wrote on X (Twitter).
Learn more: 11 Cryptos to Add to Your Portfolio Before Altcoin Season
On the other hand, Brian Quinlivan, senior analyst at Santiment, told BeInCrypto that there is a lack of enthusiasm for the altcoin season due to the recent price drops.
“As far as mentions of altcoin season go, we’re not really seeing any significant enthusiasm from traders about it. Traders have at least been a little bit more vocal since we started seeing prices drop over the last three days,” Quinlivan told BeInCrypto.
Disclaimer
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