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Altcoin season approaching? Expert Views Amid Bitcoin Halving Aftermath

TokenTalk Staff

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Altcoin season approaching? Insights from experts amid Bitcoin’s halving aftermath

Can altcoins rebound? Analysis of expert predictions and key indicators following the recent Bitcoin halving.

In the wake of Bitcoin (BTC) recent reduce by half event, the crypto market has been anything but predictable.

While many expected the value of Bitcoin to rise, the reality was a little more muted. In fact, the market remains relatively stable, lingering below the record highs recorded in March 2024. Throughout this period of anticipation and adjustment, altcoins took a hit.

Investors appear to have favored Bitcoin over its alternatives, causing a notable hemorrhage in the altcoin market. Since March, the combined market capitalization of altcoins has seen a sharp decline, from a high of $1.27 trillion to a low of $908 billion on April 13.

Altcoin Market Cap Chart | Source: Commercial view

Although there has been a slight recovery since then, with market capitalization back up to around $1.06 trillion as of April 23, the path to stability remains uncertain.

The last month has been particularly difficult for many altcoins. Around 80% of the top 100 altcoins saw declines ranging from 2% to 50%.

Even Ethereum (ETH), the leading altcoin by market capitalization, was not immune to this slowdown. Although it reached a high of $3,727 on April 8, its value steadily declined in the days that followed.

As of April 23, Ethereum was trading at around $3,200, reflecting the downward trend in the altcoin market.

While Bitcoin’s dominance remains strong, where could altcoins potentially find a place in the market? Let’s find out.

Are we in an altcoin season?

In bull market cycles, Bitcoin typically leads the charge, attracting mainstream attention and investment.

Following the rise of Bitcoin, a phenomenon known as “altcoin season” often occurs, where capital flows into altcoins. This trend has been seen during previous bull markets, such as 2017-2018 and 2020-2021, where altcoins sometimes outperformed Bitcoin.

Over the course of an altcoin season, Bitcoin’s market dominance tends to decline as altcoins collectively gain greater share. However, the current market situation does not reflect this trend.

Where could altcoins go and what factors could trigger them?

Analyzing data from past cycles, we see that altcoin seasons historically begin shortly after the Bitcoin halving event.

The Altcoin Season Index is a crucial metric to watch for signs of an impending altcoin rally. This index provides insight into the relative strength of altcoins compared to Bitcoin.

Although the recent Bitcoin halving event initially caused the index to decline, indicating a period of Bitcoin dominance, it is essential to note that altcoins have seen a steeper decline in value during this period .

When the Altcoin Seasonal Index exceeds a certain threshold, usually above 75, it suggests an increased likelihood of an altcoin rally.

According to the latest data, the Altcoin Season Index stands at 39, indicating that an altcoin season might still be far away.

Another critical indicator is Tether (USDT) Dominance, which tracks the market share of the stablecoin USDT compared to other cryptocurrencies.

A downward trend in USDT dominance suggests that investors are increasingly willing to take risks by trading stablecoins for crypto assets, potentially signaling the start of an altcoin season. Current analysis of the USDT dominance chart shows that setting new lows correlates with early signs of altcoin rallies.

Altcoin season approaching?  Expert Views Amid Bitcoin Halving – 2USDT Dominance Chart | Source: Commercial view

Conversely, a shift toward an upward trend in USDT dominance would indicate a preference for stablecoins over altcoins, potentially delaying the start of an altcoin season.

Timing is also crucial to consider. Although altcoin rallies can occur at any time, they often coincide with specific market conditions, such as several weeks or months after Bitcoin halving events.

This delay can be attributed to the time needed for market participants to digest the implications of the Bitcoin halving and reallocate their investments accordingly.

To assess whether altcoins are accelerating, you should pay close attention to an increase in trading volume accompanied by sustained price appreciation across multiple altcoins.

What do the experts think?

Emperor, a veteran crypto analyst, observes that Bitcoin’s dominance before the halving was on the rise, approaching its peak support level established after the halving in 2020.

As May approaches, Emperor predicts a potential major altcoin rally, especially if Bitcoin maintains its stability.

Emperor suggests a speculative scenario in which Bitcoin could recover to around $68,000 or even hit its all-time high, attracting top buyers looking to exit at profitable levels.

Meanwhile, altcoins, especially those that have shown strength in recent months, could see a rally.

Michaël van de Poppe, another respected crypto analyst, echoes the sentiment that post-halving market sentiments are shifting towards altcoins.

He notes that as Bitcoin’s dominance wanes, indicating a market rotation, altcoin time is on the horizon.

Michaël also suggested the role of Ethereum (ETH), which is evolving into a more robust settlement layer within the crypto ecosystem that could impact the altcoin’s performance in the coming months.

Therefore, you should closely monitor key indicators, such as Bitcoin dominance, and monitor altcoins to make informed decisions regarding your crypto portfolios. Always remember the golden rule of investing: never invest more than you can afford to lose.



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We are the editorial team of TokenTalk, where seriousness meets clarity in cryptocurrency analysis. With a robust team of finance and blockchain technology experts, we are dedicated to meticulously exploring complex crypto markets with detailed assessments and an unbiased approach. Our mission is to democratize access to knowledge of emerging financial technologies, ensuring they are understandable and accessible to all. In every article on TokenTalk, we strive to provide content that not only educates, but also empowers our readers, facilitating their integration into the financial digital age.

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Altcoins

Falling Cryptocurrency Speculation Index Suggests Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Market Reset

TokenTalk Staff

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Falling Cryptocurrency Speculation Index Suggests Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Market Reset

Bull markets are observed to stagnate during periods of excessive optimism, only to pick up again once the speculative froth has dissipated.

Capriole Investments Crypto Speculation Index Shows Speculative Excesses spread during First quarters have dissipated, indicating potential for further bullish bitcoin price action (BTC)the leading cryptocurrency in terms of market value.

The speculation index, which measures the percentage of alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) that have a 90-day return higher than bitcoin, has stabilized below 10%, down sharply from a January peak of nearly 60%. Bitcoin, the market’s top cryptocurrency, hit new records above $70,000 in the first quarter and has since fallen back to $58,000.

At the time of writing, there are over 14,800 altcoins in existence, according to data source Coingecko. Most of these coins are illiquid and have difficulty proving their utility. As a result, altcoins are generally considered speculative instruments, with volumes closely related to Google Trends, an indicator of retail investor interest, and the outperformance of altcoins relative to BTC are seen as a sign of speculative mania.

Speculative collapses serve as corrective mechanisms, helping to realign asset prices with fundamentals and tempering excessive speculation. They thus lay the foundations for a healthier long-term environment.

This is what happened in the cryptocurrency market. Since 2019, a speculation index below 10% has coincided with the beginning of strong increases in bitcoin, as observed in the first half of 2019, at the end of 2020 and in the second half of 2023.

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Bitcoin, Altcoins in Focus as Market Eyes Ether ETF, Fed Chair Commentary, and More

TokenTalk Staff

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Bitcoin, Altcoins in Focus as Market Eyes Ether ETF, Fed Chair Commentary, and More

The cryptocurrency market is abuzz with a series of key events expected to impact Bitcoin and altcoin trading this week. The cryptocurrency market has been highly volatile lately, with government BTC meltdowns, Mt. Gox repayment issues, and other related factors. However, this week would be a pivotal one for the digital asset space, with a series of events expected to weigh on market sentiment.

Bitcoin and Altcoin Traders Watch This Week’s Key Events

Ethereum ETF to Fuel Market Sentiment

The buzz that is skyrocketing above the Ethereum Spot ETF in the United States The SEC approval has been evidenced by the recent discussions in the cryptocurrency market. Apart from altcoins, the approval is also expected to show its impact on the performance of Bitcoin.

Meanwhile, recent comments from Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas and ETF Store president Nate Geraci highlight the SEC’s silence on the matter. However, despite the regulators’ “mute” stance, experts have nonetheless provided an optimistic outlook for a possible approval or breakthrough in the coming week.

The market is particularly expecting Bitcoin and altcoins to rally following the approval of the Ethereum ETF. In addition, the recent massive inflow of capital into the Bitcoin spot ETF in the US has further boosted market sentiment.

Statements by Fed Chairman and Other Officials

In macroeconomic news, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on Monday, July 15, and the financial sector is likely to be watching closely. Given the mixed inflation data of late, Powell’s commentary will be crucial in assessing the central bank’s current stance on monetary policy.

To put things in context, the latest US CPI data indicated a significant slowdown in inflation in the country. Notably, it also increased bets on three interest rate cuts in 2024, versus previous expectations of two rate cuts. However, IPP in the United States Last week was warmer than expected, which weighed on overall market sentiment.

That being said, if the Fed chair comments on the central bank’s upcoming interest rate plans, it could influence Bitcoin and cryptocurrency market sentiment. Additionally, other Fed officials, such as Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, New York Fed President Williams, and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic, are also expected to provide remarks this week.

Ripple and SEC sue

The price of XRP rose significantly over the weekend, with July 13 being a significant date in Ripple’s lawsuit against the SEC. On July 13, 2023, Judge Torres ruled that XRP was not a security, and this year, Ripple executives welcomed the development.

Therefore, XRP The price of XRP has surged by more than 12%, reflecting the growing market interest in the cryptocurrency. However, in this context, the US SEC has announced that it will hold a “closed-door” meeting on July 18. That said, the XRP community is speculating that the meeting could be focused on a possible settlement in the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit.

Moreover, many market experts also expect the legal battle to be concluded soon. Considering this, the conclusion of the lawsuit is likely to have a significant impact on the altcoin sector as well as Bitcoin.

Read also : Binance CEO Shares Post-CZ Era Developments and Crypto Outlook

What’s Next for Bitcoin and Altcoins?

Events will play a crucial role in the future of cryptocurrencies. In addition, the selling pressure from the German government has also decreased, as the government sold its last BTC in the previous week.

On the other hand, BTC Spot ETF in the United States According to the latest reports, issuers around the world are on a buying spree. If the momentum continues, the price of BTC could rise significantly. In a recent analysis, cryptocurrency market expert Ali Martinez said that if Bitcoin can break above $59,200, the next stop for BTC could be around $64,000.

Source: Ali Martinez

Let’s talk about the altcoinsCrypto analyst Michael van de Poppe sees a bright future for the sector. After a recent price correction, van de Poppe points to a strong weekly rebound and supports a market cap of around $500 billion. Based on this, he predicts that altcoins will reach a new all-time high by early 2025.

Source: Michael van de Poppe

Read also : Solana Co-Founder Highlights US Government’s ‘Mess’ Over Cryptocurrency

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Altcoins to be sold off as stablecoin volume drops

TokenTalk Staff

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Altcoins to be sold off as stablecoin volume drops

Attempts at a sustainable recovery in the cryptocurrency market continued to fail this week, starting with Bitcoin’s failure to break above $60,000 on Thursday. At the same time, stablecoin volumes declined significantly to a seven-month low of $970 million. At first glance, this outlook may not raise eyebrows, but further evaluation could prompt altcoin investors to sell this weekend to avoid the rabbit hole.

According to a report on the state of the stablecoin sector, June marked the third consecutive month of declines – 18%, mainly in USDT. Attached is the most dominant stablecoin, “accounting for 78.4% of volume among the top 10 stablecoins by market cap.”

Stablecoins are often the entry and exit route to the cryptocurrency market. They also help facilitate the majority of trading in the market. Therefore, a persistent decline in volumes may indicate a decline in trader interest.

For this reason, it might be prudent to consider selecting altcoins to sell before further price drops engulf cryptocurrencies.

3. Altcoins for Sale – Slerf (SLERF)

Slerf is one of the biggest crashes in the cryptocurrency market, and it was a good thing. The project presents itself as a fun and engaging project coin meme for the community. However, the launch was not a cakewalk as the developer accidentally burned all the tokens (liquidity and airdrop allocations). The combined value of the burned tokens exceeded $10 million.

The price of SLERF then surged, with market participants calling it the most secure meme coin on the blockchain. After reaching an all-time high of $1.3, or 7.7 times the launch price, SLERF began to retrace and is currently at $0.186, down 86%.

Slerf retains the title of the most liquid meme coin on Solana and has continued to secure partnerships across the Solana ecosystem. The 24-hour trading volume for SLERF is up 4.6%, indicating that investor interest in the token is increasing.

SLERF price is near a critical level. If it falls below this level, it could reach new all-time lows.

2. Arbitration (ARB)

Over the past week, ARB has been trading in a range between $0.6825 and $0.733, showing a notable 17% increase in value. The cryptocurrency reached its all-time high of $2.40 six months ago, but has since declined significantly, currently trading around $0.69.

Arbitration
ARB Price Chart | CoinGecko

Despite this decline, recent performance indicates a positive trend, recovering from its all-time low of $0.5773, recorded just seven days ago.

According to DefiLlamaArbitrum currently has a total value locked (TVL) of around $2.829 billion. In the last 24 hours, the platform has seen inflows of around $9 million. Additionally, Arbitrum’s treasury holds $44 million and the platform has raised $123 million to date.

Arbitrum price is currently experiencing a significant decline in a bearish market environment. If this negative sentiment persists, Arbitrum’s value could stabilize at $0.68. If market conditions deteriorate further, a drop to $0.67 could occur, reflecting a deeper bearish impact. An intensification of the downturn could push the price down to $0.68.

Conversely, Arbitrum Prize The cryptocurrency price could enter a bullish phase if investor confidence improves. A market reversal would likely push its value beyond the $0.70 resistance level. Continuing on this path, the cryptocurrency could approach $0.90. It could even reach $1 in the near future.

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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

The term altcoins is used to refer to alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin. Ethereum is the most dominant altcoin.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies pegged to real-world assets like the dollar to reduce price fluctuations, making them ideal for everyday transactions in the crypto world.

It depends on individual investors, their goals, and their understanding of the cryptocurrency market. The ongoing correction could be interpreted as a buying moment, especially if the selling pressure subsides.

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Cryptocurrency trader says Solana-based altcoin is poised for further plunge, outlines path ahead for Pepe and Dogecoin

TokenTalk Staff

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Cryptocurrency trader says Solana-based altcoin is poised for further plunge, outlines path ahead for Pepe and Dogecoin

A prominent cryptocurrency strategist believes that a dog-themed Solana (GROUNDThe memecoin based on ) is heading towards much lower prices.

In a new video, pseudonymous analyst Credible Crypto tell his 55,500 YouTube subscribers who dogwifhat (Wireless) has probably not yet reached the market floor.

“I think we might see some kind of dead cat twist here, but I don’t think the flip side is over.”

Source: Credible Crypto/YouTube

Looking at his chart, the trader suggests that WIF could correct to $0.80 with price bounces along the way.

WIF is trading at $1.60 at the time of writing, up nearly 3% in the past 24 hours.

Then the analyst says that the memecoin Pepe (PEPE) could see a correction of around 90% from its all-time high of $0.0000171.

“We obviously have a significant support area here in the green zone. [between $0.0000059 and $0.0000040] “So we could see some sort of rebound from there. But ultimately, I think it’s going to continue to go down.”

Source: Credible Crypto/YouTube

Based on the trader’s chart, he seems to predict that PEPE could drop as low as $0.00000185.

Pepe is trading at $0.00000876 at the time of writing.

Finally, the analyst claims that the dog-themed memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) could retest higher resistance levels if Bitcoin starts to recover.

“Cryptocurrencies like DOGE could see some relief to the upside. You have reached our first target zone of downside demand – a logical place to see a bounce.

We’ll probably see a bounce with Bitcoin. And then we’ll probably find some resistance and then continue to bleed as Bitcoin continues to surge. And that’s where we get this kind of prolonged bleeding to the downside…

Dogecoin: A logical place to be interested at $0.10. But there is a chance we could go lower if this region is lost. We could definitely see a bounce here.

Source: Credible Crypto/YouTube

Looking at his chart, the analyst suggests that a possible scenario would be for DOGE to drop to around $0.084, retest resistance at around $0.15, and crash all the way to $0.06.

DOGE is trading at $0.108 at the time of writing, up slightly over the past 24 hours.

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Disclaimer: Opinions expressed on The Daily Hodl are not investment advice. Investors should do their own due diligence before making any high-risk investments in Bitcoin, cryptocurrencies or digital assets. Please be advised that your transfers and trades are at your own risk, and any losses you may incur are your responsibility. The Daily Hodl does not recommend the buying or selling of any cryptocurrencies or digital assets, nor is The Daily Hodl an investment advisor. Please note that The Daily Hodl participates in affiliate marketing.

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